Is AMTM stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, AMTM is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMTM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of AMTM stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for AMTM to be between $30.38 and $35.44. The current price is $35.78.

What is the analyst price target for AMTM?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for AMTM is $36.18. This implies a potential upside of -2.5% from current levels.

AMTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMTM - Amentum Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

$35.78

-1.34 (-3.61%) ▼

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Last Updated: January 30, 2026

Earnings: Feb 09, 2026 8d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMTM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 14.5%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$51.19

Based on 9.3% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$31.78

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMTM is currently trading at $35.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.38 to $35.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.5) compared to its historical average (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMTM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.00, while resistance sits at $37.94. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Fair Price Range $30.38 - $35.44

Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 44.8%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.18)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.1% growth with 77.4% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $30.38 - $35.44

Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $34.00

Resistance Level $37.94

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.50

Wall Street Target $36.18 (-2.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 77.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -43.2%

Profit Margin 0.5%

Valuation Premium vs History +4.1% premium

PE vs Historical 13.5 vs 12.0 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +4.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $38.64 (+4%)

2-Year Target $40.23 (+8%)

3-Year Target $41.88 (+13%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→12) PE COMPRESSION $37.21 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.5%) $92.08 (+148%)

Base: (SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 14.5%) $55.76 (+50%)

Bear: (PE: 11.5, Growth: 14.5%) $47.40 (+28%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.

Forward PE: 15.02 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.38

Bull Case $43.20 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.8

Base Case $35.78 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.0

Bear Case $27.37 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.5

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:49 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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