DBRG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DBRG - DigitalBridge Group, Inc.

INVESTMENT ADVICE
$15.66
0.01 (0.06%) ▲
5d: +0.13%
30d: +0.45%
90d: +1.36%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your DBRG Gains
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DBRG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.17
18.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DBRG is currently trading at $15.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.54 to $15.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.7) compared to its historical average (28.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DBRG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: DBRG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $15.54 - $15.64
Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $15.54 - $15.64
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.53
Resistance Level $15.67
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.69
Wall Street Target $16.00 (+2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 58.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -78.0%
Profit Margin 122.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 24.7 vs 28.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $14.94 (-5%)
2-Year Target $14.25 (-9%)
3-Year Target $13.60 (-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→28) $15.64 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 24.7, Growth: 78.3%) $52.85 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 78.3%) $47.18 (+201%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 78.3%) $40.11 (+156%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.53
Bull Case $20.59 (+32%)
Analyst growth 19.7%, PE expands to 32.5
Base Case $18.72 (+20%)
Market implied 19.7%, PE stable at 29.5
Bear Case $10.64 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.7 to 28.4
Stabilization Target: $18.01 (+15.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +15.0%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:02 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced DBRG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DBRG price and gamma walls.

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