AQN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AQN - Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp
$6.55
0.08 (1.24%)
▲
5d:
+2.66%
30d:
+5.31%
90d:
+16.34%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AQN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AQN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.73
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.04
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AQN is currently trading at $6.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.20 to $6.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.0) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AQN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AQN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$6.20 -
$6.49
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.8% growth with 1.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$6.20 -
$6.49
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.35
Resistance Level
$6.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.96
Wall Street Target
$6.75
(+3.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.0%
Profit Margin
-1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 17.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.67
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$6.79
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$6.91
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.54
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.0%)
$12.37
(+89%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: 15.0%)
$9.96
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 15.0%)
$8.47
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 17.99 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.36
Bull Case
$7.91
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case
$6.55
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case
$5.01
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 8:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AQN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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