ARCB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARCB - ArcBest Corporation
$99.66
1.30 (1.32%)
▲
5d:
+4.06%
30d:
-4.69%
90d:
+32.0%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Get Alerted When ARCB Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ARCB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ARCB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$210.87
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$130.94
23.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARCB is currently trading at $99.66, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.52 to $101.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $102.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ARCB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (16th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $102.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ARCB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (16th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$88.52 -
$101.09
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
16th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 16th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($100.25)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$88.52 -
$101.09
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.45
(6.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$84.25
Resistance Level
$102.03
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.71
Wall Street Target
$100.25
(+0.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.3%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 14.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$96.97
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$94.35
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$91.80
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$99.75
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 59.9%)
$548.20
(+450%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 59.9%)
$336.35
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 59.9%)
$285.90
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.62
Bull Case
$192.68
(+109%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 36.8
Base Case
$175.16
(+90%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.4
Bear Case
$59.55
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 14.9
Stabilization Target:
$108.29
(+8.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ARCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Trucking Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Trucking by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
XPO
XPO Logistics Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$204 | 65 BUY |
|
TFII
TFI International Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$127 | 58 HOLD |
|
KNX
Knight Transportation Inc |
BUY
21 analysts |
$64 | 63 BUY |
|
SAIA
Saia Inc |
BUY
22 analysts |
$399 | 55 HOLD |
|
ODFL
Old Dominion Freight Lin… |
HOLD
25 analysts |
$199 | 62 BUY |
