ARMK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARMK - ARAMARK
$38.49
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ARMK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ARMK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.99
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.59
7.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARMK is currently trading at $38.49, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.63 to $39.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARMK is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $38.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.60 (+15.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARMK is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $38.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.60 (+15.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$37.63 -
$39.13
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($44.60)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$37.63 -
$39.13
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.17
Resistance Level
$39.95
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.86
Wall Street Target
$44.60
(+15.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-30.0%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 15.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.76
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$37.04
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$36.34
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$38.64
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 16.9%)
$92.18
(+140%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 16.9%)
$61.42
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 16.9%)
$52.21
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.22
Bull Case
$84.70
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.7
Base Case
$77.00
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.6
Bear Case
$26.18
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.9 to 15.8
Stabilization Target:
$40.93
(+6.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.3%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARMK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2025-08-21
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ARMK price and gamma walls.
