ARMK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARMK - ARAMARK
$40.12
0.28 (0.70%)
▲
5d:
-0.42%
30d:
-4.13%
90d:
+7.22%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ARMK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ARMK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.84
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.12
4.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARMK is currently trading at $40.12, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.74 to $41.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARMK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.68, while resistance sits at $41.79.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.09 (+18.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARMK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.68, while resistance sits at $41.79.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.09 (+18.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$39.74 -
$41.18
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($47.09)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$39.74 -
$41.18
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.68
Resistance Level
$41.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.23
Wall Street Target
$47.09
(+18.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 15.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.56
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$39.28
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$39.01
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$39.96
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 17.6%)
$95.30
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 17.6%)
$64.78
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 17.6%)
$55.06
(+38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.19
Bull Case
$85.54
(+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.9
Base Case
$77.76
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.7
Bear Case
$26.44
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.2 to 15.6
Stabilization Target:
$40.82
(+2.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 9:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARMK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2025-12-10
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