AROC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AROC - Archrock Inc
$38.62
1.19 (3.18%)
▲
5d:
+5.2%
30d:
+6.39%
90d:
+18.1%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AROC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AROC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.35
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AROC is currently trading at $38.62, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.70 to $38.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.0) is in line with its historical norms (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $36.00, while resistance sits at $40.12. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.56 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $36.00, while resistance sits at $40.12. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.56 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$35.70 -
$38.23
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($41.56)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.70 -
$38.23
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.00
Resistance Level
$40.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.99
Wall Street Target
$41.56
(+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Profit Margin
21.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.29
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$39.17
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$40.07
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.60
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 15.2%)
$78.96
(+111%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 15.2%)
$57.20
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 15.2%)
$48.62
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.84
Bull Case
$52.51
(+40%)
Analyst growth 27.2%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$47.74
(+28%)
Market implied 27.2%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$25.51
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AROC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Doug S Aron
SELL
98050 shares
2026-03-30
Doug S Aron
SELL
71500 shares
2026-03-27
Donna A Henderson
SELL
10413 shares
2026-03-04
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