AROC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AROC - Archrock Inc
$36.79
-1.97 (-5.08%)
▼
5d:
-11.14%
30d:
+7.54%
90d:
+7.79%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AROC is down 11.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AROC is down 11.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.05
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.15
6.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AROC is currently trading at $36.79, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.29 to $39.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $35.05, while resistance sits at $42.23. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: AROC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.33 (+15.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $35.05, while resistance sits at $42.23. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: AROC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.33 (+15.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$34.29 -
$39.12
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($42.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.29 -
$39.12
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.06
Resistance Level
$42.23
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.33
Wall Street Target
$42.33
(+15.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Profit Margin
21.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.97
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$37.16
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$37.34
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.78
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.7%)
$89.69
(+144%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 19.7%)
$63.13
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 19.7%)
$53.66
(+46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.84
Bull Case
$55.61
(+51%)
Analyst growth 30.4%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case
$50.55
(+37%)
Market implied 30.4%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$26.36
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 6:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is AROC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Doug S Aron
SELL
98050 shares
2026-03-30
Doug S Aron
SELL
71500 shares
2026-03-27
Donna A Henderson
SELL
10413 shares
2026-03-04
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