ASC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASC - ARDMORE SHIPPING CORPORATION
$18.76
0.01 (0.05%)
▲
5d:
-0.58%
30d:
+21.27%
90d:
+43.21%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ASC is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ASC is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.26
Based on -34.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASC is currently trading at $18.76, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.55 to $18.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.9) is in line with its historical norms (20.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.50, while resistance sits at $20.02.
Market Sentiment: ASC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.50, while resistance sits at $20.02.
Market Sentiment: ASC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$15.55 -
$18.52
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.15)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.55 -
$18.52
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.50
Resistance Level
$20.03
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.94
Wall Street Target
$20.15
(+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
316.4%
Profit Margin
18.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
21.9 vs 20.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.08
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$19.40
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$19.73
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.80
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -73.4%)
$13.74
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: -73.4%)
$13.68
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: -73.4%)
$11.62
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.32
Bull Case
$13.36
(-29%)
Analyst growth -35.2%, PE expands to 15.6
Base Case
$12.14
(-35%)
Market implied -35.2%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$12.75
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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