ASIX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ASIX - AdvanSix Inc.

PLASTIC MATERIALS, SYNTH RESINS & NONVULCAN ELASTOMERS
$21.79
-0.02 (-0.09%) ▼
5d: +7.23%
30d: -8.06%
90d: +16.84%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASIX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.92
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.06
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ASIX is currently trading at $21.79, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.67 to $25.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.4) compared to its historical average (6.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.40, while resistance sits at $26.73.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $22.67 - $25.09
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.9% growth with 7.0% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $22.67 - $25.09
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $19.40
Resistance Level $26.73
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.39
Wall Street Target $23.50 (+7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -19.6%
Profit Margin 0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +7.9% premium
PE vs Historical 8.4 vs 6.7 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +7.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $23.53 (+8%)
2-Year Target $25.39 (+16%)
3-Year Target $27.40 (+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→7) PE COMPRESSION $21.88 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 122.2%) $193.40 (+787%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 122.2%) $73.61 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 6.7, Growth: 122.2%) $58.79 (+170%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (62x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 61.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.36
Bull Case $48.86 (+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 67.9
Base Case $44.42 (+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 61.7
Bear Case $15.10 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 52.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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