ASIX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASIX - AdvanSix Inc.
$21.62
-0.19 (-0.87%)
▼
5d:
+6.4%
30d:
-8.78%
90d:
+15.92%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASIX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASIX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.92
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASIX is currently trading at $21.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.17 to $24.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (6.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.40, while resistance sits at $26.73.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.40, while resistance sits at $26.73.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.17 -
$24.78
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.5% growth with 7.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.17 -
$24.78
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.40
Resistance Level
$26.73
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.32
Wall Street Target
$23.50
(+8.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.6%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.5% premium
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 6.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.24
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$24.98
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$26.86
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.64
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 122.2%)
$193.66
(+796%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 122.2%)
$72.97
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 122.2%)
$58.79
(+172%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (60x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 59.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.36
Bull Case
$47.23
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 65.6
Base Case
$42.94
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 59.6
Bear Case
$14.60
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 50.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASIX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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