ASIX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ASIX - AdvanSix Inc.

PLASTIC MATERIALS, SYNTH RESINS & NONVULCAN ELASTOMERS
$20.29
0.44 (2.22%) ▲
5d: +2.22%
30d: -10.42%
90d: -19.16%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASIX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.73
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.05
15.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ASIX is currently trading at $20.29, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.03 to $22.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.9) is in line with its historical norms (6.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.50 (+15.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $20.03 - $22.39
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 80.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with 7.0% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $20.03 - $22.39
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $18.88
Resistance Level $20.77
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.94
Wall Street Target $23.50 (+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -19.6%
Profit Margin 0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.5% premium
PE vs Historical 6.9 vs 6.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.39 (+1%)
2-Year Target $20.49 (+1%)
3-Year Target $20.60 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→7) PE COMPRESSION $20.19 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 103.8%) $215.01 (+960%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: 103.8%) $68.48 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 5.9, Growth: 103.8%) $58.21 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (55x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 55.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.36
Bull Case $43.67 (+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 60.7
Base Case $39.70 (+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 55.1
Bear Case $13.50 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 46.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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