ASIX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASIX - AdvanSix Inc.
$20.29
0.44 (2.22%)
▲
5d:
+2.22%
30d:
-10.42%
90d:
-19.16%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASIX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASIX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.73
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.05
15.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASIX is currently trading at $20.29, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.03 to $22.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.9) is in line with its historical norms (6.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.50 (+15.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.50 (+15.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$20.03 -
$22.39
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with 7.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.03 -
$22.39
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.88
Resistance Level
$20.77
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.94
Wall Street Target
$23.50
(+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.6%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
6.9 vs 6.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.39
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$20.49
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$20.60
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.19
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 103.8%)
$215.01
(+960%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: 103.8%)
$68.48
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 103.8%)
$58.21
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (55x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 55.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.36
Bull Case
$43.67
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 60.7
Base Case
$39.70
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 55.1
Bear Case
$13.50
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 46.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASIX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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