ASR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASR - Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S.A. de C.V. American Depositary Shares
$345.13
-3.97 (-1.14%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$511.53
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$317.62
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASR is currently trading at $345.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $321.02 to $340.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.8) is in line with its historical norms (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $315.98, while resistance sits at $356.32.
Market Sentiment: ASR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $315.98, while resistance sits at $356.32.
Market Sentiment: ASR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$321.02 -
$340.36
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
2th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 2th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($348.41)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.9% growth with 17.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$321.02 -
$340.36
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$21.99
(6.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$315.98
Resistance Level
$356.32
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.82
Wall Street Target
$348.41
(-0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.5%
Profit Margin
31.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$355.73
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$362.49
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$369.38
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$350.33
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.3%)
$735.98
(+111%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 14.3%)
$521.97
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 14.3%)
$443.67
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $26.31
Bull Case
$324.20
(-6%)
Analyst growth -16.1%, PE expands to 14.7
Base Case
$294.73
(-15%)
Market implied -16.1%, PE stable at 13.4
Bear Case
$238.88
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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