CAAP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAAP - Corporacion America Airports S.A.
$24.81
0.95 (3.98%)
▲
5d:
-1.16%
30d:
-5.56%
90d:
-13.67%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CAAP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CAAP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.10
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.90
0.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAAP is currently trading at $24.81, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.40 to $26.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 212.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAAP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $23.00, while resistance sits at $26.49. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: CAAP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.00 (+29.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAAP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $23.00, while resistance sits at $26.49. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: CAAP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.00 (+29.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$24.40 -
$26.25
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 29.0% below Wall St target ($32.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.40 -
$26.25
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.00
Resistance Level
$26.49
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.02
Wall Street Target
$32.00
(+29.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
212.1%
Profit Margin
12.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 11.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.59
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$24.37
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$24.15
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$24.76
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 15.2%)
$75.98
(+206%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 15.2%)
$37.89
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 15.2%)
$32.20
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.52
Bull Case
$38.87
(+57%)
Analyst growth 48.1%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$35.34
(+42%)
Market implied 48.1%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$16.22
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 11.3
Stabilization Target:
$25.44
(+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 6:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAAP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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