OMAB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OMAB - Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte S.A.B. de C.V
$104.62
1.78 (1.73%)
▲
5d:
-3.15%
30d:
-10.19%
90d:
-20.32%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OMAB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OMAB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$202.15
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$125.52
16.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OMAB is currently trading at $104.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $105.12 to $114.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMAB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $101.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OMAB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.70 (+22.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMAB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $101.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OMAB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.70 (+22.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$105.12 -
$114.40
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.1% below Wall St target ($127.70)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$105.12 -
$114.40
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$101.84
Resistance Level
$109.12
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.78
Wall Street Target
$127.70
(+22.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.2%
Profit Margin
32.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 13.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$101.17
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$97.83
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$94.60
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$104.38
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 20.0%)
$339.05
(+224%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 20.0%)
$180.75
(+73%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 20.0%)
$153.63
(+47%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.38
Bull Case
$157.45
(+51%)
Analyst growth 39.2%, PE expands to 17.7
Base Case
$143.14
(+37%)
Market implied 39.2%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case
$69.93
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.8 to 13.0
Stabilization Target:
$115.44
(+10.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 19, 2026 12:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OMAB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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