PAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAC - Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico, S.A.B. de C.V. Amer. Dep. Shares (each rep. 10 Ser. B shares)
$253.71
1.29 (0.51%)
▲
5d:
+0.59%
30d:
+5.69%
90d:
+2.07%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 20, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PAC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: PAC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$327.65
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$203.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAC is currently trading at $253.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $232.41 to $252.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.1) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $246.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $246.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$232.41 -
$252.07
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($277.62)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$232.41 -
$252.07
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$223.48
Resistance Level
$246.66
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.12
Wall Street Target
$277.62
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.7%
Profit Margin
30.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 17.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$254.47
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$255.23
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$256.00
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$254.21
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.8%)
$392.86
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 6.8%)
$308.79
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 6.8%)
$262.47
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.31
Bull Case
$363.83
(+43%)
Analyst growth 31.0%, PE expands to 24.6
Base Case
$330.76
(+30%)
Market implied 31.0%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case
$171.65
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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