PAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAC - Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico, S.A.B. de C.V. Amer. Dep. Shares (each rep. 10 Ser. B shares)
$243.41
4.96 (2.08%)
▲
5d:
-1.22%
30d:
-3.1%
90d:
-16.66%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PAC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PAC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$341.67
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$212.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAC is currently trading at $243.41, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $241.69 to $256.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.6) is in line with its historical norms (17.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $234.97, while resistance sits at $255.77.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $286.08 (+17.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $234.97, while resistance sits at $255.77.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $286.08 (+17.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$241.69 -
$256.59
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($286.08)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$241.69 -
$256.59
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$234.98
Resistance Level
$255.77
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.60
Wall Street Target
$286.08
(+17.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.7%
Profit Margin
30.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 17.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$235.38
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$227.61
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$220.10
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$242.67
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 5.9%)
$409.76
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 5.9%)
$289.25
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 5.9%)
$245.86
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.54
Bull Case
$354.64
(+46%)
Analyst growth 35.2%, PE expands to 22.7
Base Case
$322.40
(+33%)
Market implied 35.2%, PE stable at 20.7
Bear Case
$162.15
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.6 to 17.2
Stabilization Target:
$268.37
(+10.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 11:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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