ASRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ASRT - Assertio Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$22.50
0.13 (0.58%) β–²
5d: +21.82%
30d: +24.86%
90d: +76.61%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026 1d
Smart Money Accumulation

ASRT is down 6.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $12 2026-06-18 with 116 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 8.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: ASRT is 16.2% above its trading range ($19.36). Market expects 9.8% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.95
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.87
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ASRT is currently trading at $22.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.72 to $19.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.7) compared to its historical average (6.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ASRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ASRT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $17.72 - $19.36
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.0%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+16.2% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.87)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.8% growth with -57.9% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 16.2% overvaluation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $17.72 - $19.36
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $18.03
Resistance Level $22.55
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 8, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.69
Wall Street Target $23.87 (+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -57.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -18.8%
Profit Margin -25.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.8% premium
PE vs Historical 8.7 vs 6.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $24.70 (+10%)
2-Year Target $27.13 (+21%)
3-Year Target $29.78 (+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9β†’7) PE COMPRESSION $22.63 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: May 09, 2026 8:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:43 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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