ASTL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ASTL - Algoma Steel Group Inc. Common Shares

Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)
$4.14
0.03 (0.73%) ▲
5d: -0.48%
30d: -11.91%
90d: +0.98%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

ASTL is down 21.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $6 2026-05-15 with 3,889 OI. Call ratio: 75% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASTL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ASTL is currently trading at $4.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.77 to $4.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -1.6) compared to its historical average (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ASTL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.50, while resistance sits at $4.30.

Market Sentiment: ASTL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+386.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $3.77 - $4.57
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 386.6% below Wall St target ($20.00)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $3.77 - $4.57
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.50
Resistance Level $4.31
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Apr 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -1.56
Wall Street Target $20.00 (+386.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -22.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -93.0%
Profit Margin -47.2%
PE vs Historical -1.6 vs 15.7 CHEAP
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:00 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced ASTL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ASTL price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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