ATAT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATAT - Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
$35.74
-1.20 (-3.25%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Nov 25, 2025
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ATAT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ATAT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.69
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.00
24.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATAT is currently trading at $35.74, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.18 to $41.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 2.5) is in line with its historical norms (2.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 22.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATAT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: ATAT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.95 (+32.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATAT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: ATAT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.95 (+32.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$37.18 -
$41.33
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ATAT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 32.5% below Wall St target ($48.95)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$37.18 -
$41.33
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.60
Resistance Level
$39.07
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.47
Wall Street Target
$48.95
(+32.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.8%
Profit Margin
16.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.5 vs 2.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.53
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$36.13
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$35.73
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→3)
$37.60
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 25.2%)
$654.08
(+1671%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.5, Growth: 25.2%)
$72.48
(+96%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.1, Growth: 25.2%)
$61.61
(+67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.51
Bull Case
$78.54
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.0
Base Case
$71.40
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.6
Bear Case
$24.28
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.5 to 2.6
Stabilization Target:
$38.87
(+5.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.2%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATAT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ATAT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATAT price and gamma walls.
