ATEC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATEC - Alphatec Holdings, Inc.
$8.92
0.06 (0.68%)
▲
5d:
+1.02%
30d:
+19.25%
90d:
-20.78%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATEC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 29.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATEC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 29.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.46
48.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATEC is currently trading at $8.92, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.80 to $8.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (43.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 29.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATEC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.10, while resistance sits at $9.56.
Market Sentiment: ATEC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.73 (+87.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATEC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.10, while resistance sits at $9.56.
Market Sentiment: ATEC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.73 (+87.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$7.80 -
$8.82
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 87.5% below Wall St target ($16.73)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.80 -
$8.82
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.10
Resistance Level
$9.57
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.44
Wall Street Target
$16.73
(+87.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Profit Margin
-15.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-29.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 43.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-29.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.03
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.23
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.50
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→44)
$18.36
(+106%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 80.8%)
$42.46
(+376%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 80.8%)
$30.11
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 80.8%)
$25.59
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 43.6
Stabilization Target:
$25.18
(+182.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+182.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 11:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Lish
SELL
260535 shares
2026-03-13
David Sponsel
SELL
163452 shares
2026-03-11
Craig E Hunsaker
SELL
82765 shares
2026-03-09
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATEC price and gamma walls.