Is ATEC stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, ATEC is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: ATEC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of ATEC stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ATEC to be between $8.30 and $11.37. The current price is $7.66.

What is the analyst price target for ATEC?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ATEC is $17.33. This implies a potential upside of 126.3% from current levels.

ATEC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ATEC - Alphatec Holdings, Inc.

SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

$7.66

0.09 (1.19%) ▲

5d: +1.86%

30d: -29.21%

90d: -42.66%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your ATEC Gains

Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 05, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

ATEC is down 31.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $10 2026-06-18 with 332 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ATEC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$28.03

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$17.41

56.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ATEC is currently trading at $7.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.30 to $11.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.3) compared to its historical average (52.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 36.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ATEC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.82, while resistance sits at $10.81.

Market Sentiment: ATEC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.33 (+126.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $8.30 - $11.37

Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 126.3% below Wall St target ($17.33)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.30 - $11.37

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $6.82

Resistance Level $10.81

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.30

Wall Street Target $17.33 (+126.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.6%

Profit Margin -15.9%

Valuation Discount vs History -36.5% cheaper

PE vs Historical 13.3 vs 52.0 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -36.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $6.89 (-10%)

2-Year Target $6.20 (-19%)

3-Year Target $5.58 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→52) $21.83 (+185%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 80.6%) $42.89 (+460%)

Base: (SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 80.6%) $25.85 (+238%)

Bear: (PE: 11.3, Growth: 80.6%) $21.97 (+187%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 52.0

Stabilization Target: $29.94 (+290.9%)

PE Expansion Potential: +290.9%

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Last updated: May 18, 2026 3:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:18 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Scott Lish SELL 260535 shares 2026-03-13

David Sponsel SELL 163452 shares 2026-03-11

Craig E Hunsaker SELL 82765 shares 2026-03-09

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Advanced ATEC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATEC price and gamma walls.

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