ATLO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATLO - AMES National Corp
$29.53
-1.02 (-3.34%)
▼
5d:
-2.44%
30d:
+1.62%
90d:
+3.94%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATLO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATLO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.68
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATLO is currently trading at $29.53, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.00 to $30.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATLO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATLO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$29.00 -
$30.37
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.00 -
$30.37
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.03
Resistance Level
$31.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.47
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+5.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
74.3%
Profit Margin
31.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.71
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$29.89
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$30.06
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.57
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.4%)
$69.98
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 4.4%)
$33.64
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 4.4%)
$28.60
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.42
Bull Case
$39.16
(+33%)
Analyst growth 16.5%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$35.60
(+21%)
Market implied 16.5%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$20.77
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATLO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Michelle R Cassabaum
BUY
205 shares
2026-02-27
Michelle R Cassabaum
BUY
280 shares
2026-01-30
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