ATRO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATRO - Astronics Corp
$66.73
4.41 (7.08%)
▲
5d:
-1.67%
30d:
-17.97%
90d:
+21.37%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
ATRO is down 4.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $70 2026-06-18 with 152 OI. Call ratio: 86% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATRO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATRO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$134.33
Based on 11.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.41
20.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATRO is currently trading at $66.73, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.92 to $77.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.2) compared to its historical average (25.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATRO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $61.49, while resistance sits at $71.48. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ATRO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.58 (+31.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATRO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $61.49, while resistance sits at $71.48. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ATRO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.58 (+31.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$65.92 -
$77.59
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 31.2% below Wall St target ($87.58)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$65.92 -
$77.59
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.40
(6.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.49
Resistance Level
$71.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.23
Wall Street Target
$87.58
(+31.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.2%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.2 vs 25.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.86
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$59.21
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$55.78
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→25)
$66.72
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 18.9%)
$118.12
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.2, Growth: 18.9%)
$112.23
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.0, Growth: 18.9%)
$95.39
(+43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 26.53 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.49
Bull Case
$79.73
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 27.9
Base Case
$66.03
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 26.5
Bear Case
$50.51
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.2 to 25.4
Stabilization Target:
$79.82
(+19.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 01, 2026 12:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATRO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ATRO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATRO price and gamma walls.
