AU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AU - AngloGold Ashanti plc
$101.22
-2.30 (-2.22%)
▼
5d:
+18.07%
30d:
-10.54%
90d:
+18.69%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AU shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AU shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$130.07
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.76
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AU is currently trading at $101.22, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.04 to $117.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 63.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $79.99, while resistance sits at $105.19.
Market Sentiment: AU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.86 (+20.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $79.99, while resistance sits at $105.19.
Market Sentiment: AU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.86 (+20.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$89.04 -
$117.68
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.4% below Wall St target ($121.86)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$89.04 -
$117.68
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.99
Resistance Level
$105.19
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.22
Wall Street Target
$121.86
(+20.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
75.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.1%
Profit Margin
26.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 11.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$97.78
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$94.45
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$91.24
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$100.90
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 2.1%)
$216.96
(+114%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 2.1%)
$107.77
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 2.1%)
$91.61
(-10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.19
Bull Case
$164.16
(+92%)
Analyst growth 86.6%, PE expands to 17.0
Base Case
$149.23
(+74%)
Market implied 86.6%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$54.39
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.2 to 11.3
Stabilization Target:
$111.94
(+10.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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