AUNA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AUNA - Auna S.A.
$4.80
-0.21 (-4.19%)
▼
5d:
-5.33%
30d:
-13.04%
90d:
-3.23%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 19, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AUNA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AUNA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.48
25.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AUNA is currently trading at $4.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.96 to $5.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.3) compared to its historical average (4.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUNA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: AUNA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.27 (+51.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUNA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: AUNA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.27 (+51.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.96 -
$5.55
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 51.5% below Wall St target ($7.27)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.3%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.96 -
$5.55
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.76
Resistance Level
$5.23
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.30
Wall Street Target
$7.27
(+51.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.9%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.3 vs 4.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.62
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$4.44
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$4.27
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$4.77
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 25.9%)
$49.13
(+924%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.3, Growth: 25.9%)
$9.57
(+99%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.7, Growth: 25.9%)
$8.13
(+69%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.38
Bull Case
$11.02
(+130%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$10.02
(+109%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case
$3.41
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.3 to 4.8
Stabilization Target:
$5.36
(+11.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 9:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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