AVTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVTR - Avantor, Inc.
$7.94
0.07 (0.89%)
▲
5d:
-4.45%
30d:
-5.14%
90d:
-13.13%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
AVTR is up 4.4% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $8 2026-06-18 with 550 OI. Put ratio: 75% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AVTR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AVTR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.55
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVTR is currently trading at $7.94, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.89 to $8.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVTR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.92 (+25.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVTR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.92 (+25.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$7.89 -
$8.33
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.0% below Wall St target ($9.92)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.89 -
$8.33
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.71
Resistance Level
$8.58
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.31
Wall Street Target
$9.92
(+25.0%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.3%
Profit Margin
-8.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 11.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.51
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$7.11
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$6.72
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$7.95
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 8.0%)
$23.68
(+198%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 8.0%)
$10.00
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 8.0%)
$8.50
(+7%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 11.0
Stabilization Target:
$9.39
(+18.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Sanjeev K Mehra
BUY
125000 shares
2026-03-10
Gregory T Lucier
BUY
50000 shares
2026-02-19
Gregory L Summe
BUY
100000 shares
2026-02-12
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Advanced AVTR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AVTR price and gamma walls.
