AZZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AZZ - AZZ Inc.
$124.29
-0.68 (-0.54%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AZZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AZZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$181.28
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$112.56
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AZZ is currently trading at $124.29, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.26 to $124.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.3) is in line with its historical norms (18.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AZZ is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $127.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AZZ is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $127.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$111.26 -
$124.49
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($131.56)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$111.26 -
$124.49
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.81
(3.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$119.17
Resistance Level
$127.88
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.27
Wall Street Target
$131.56
(+5.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.4%
Profit Margin
19.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 18.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$125.04
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$125.79
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$126.54
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$124.69
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.4%)
$215.50
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 12.4%)
$176.53
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 12.4%)
$150.05
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.65
Bull Case
$86.55
(-30%)
Analyst growth -36.1%, PE expands to 12.7
Base Case
$78.68
(-37%)
Market implied -36.1%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$83.74
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AZZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kurt L Russell
SELL
10321 shares
2025-08-12
Bryan Lee Stovall
SELL
5000 shares
2025-08-11
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Advanced AZZ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AZZ price and gamma walls.
