BAH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BAH - Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation
$88.42
-0.31 (-0.35%)
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LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 23, 2026
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2 traders called BAH this week
67% bullish • 1 bearish
67% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BAH is down 13.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BAH is down 13.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$105.21
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.33
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BAH is currently trading at $88.42, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.19 to $96.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.2) is in line with its historical norms (14.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BAH is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $87.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $106.36 (+19.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BAH is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $87.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $106.36 (+19.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$86.19 -
$96.22
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($106.36)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$86.19 -
$96.22
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$87.20
Resistance Level
$109.10
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.16
Wall Street Target
$106.36
(+19.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Profit Margin
7.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 14.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$89.17
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$89.62
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$90.07
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$89.06
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 3.4%)
$154.53
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 3.4%)
$98.11
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 3.4%)
$83.40
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.74
Bull Case
$91.60
(+3%)
Analyst growth -7.0%, PE expands to 14.6
Base Case
$83.27
(-6%)
Market implied -7.0%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$60.90
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BAH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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