BAH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BAH - Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation
$78.95
0.46 (0.59%)
▲
5d:
-1.19%
30d:
+0.15%
90d:
-7.54%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 22, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
BAH is up 3.9% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $65 2026-06-18 with 1,740 OI. Put ratio: 84% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BAH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BAH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$103.39
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.20
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BAH is currently trading at $78.95, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.57 to $80.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BAH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $76.11, while resistance sits at $81.72.
Market Sentiment: BAH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.91 (+34.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BAH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $76.11, while resistance sits at $81.72.
Market Sentiment: BAH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.91 (+34.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$76.57 -
$80.35
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.1% below Wall St target ($105.91)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$76.57 -
$80.35
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.11
Resistance Level
$81.72
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.51
Wall Street Target
$105.91
(+34.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Profit Margin
7.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.21
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$75.51
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$73.85
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$79.12
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 4.2%)
$159.37
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 4.2%)
$89.20
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 4.2%)
$75.82
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.74
Bull Case
$82.10
(+3%)
Analyst growth -6.6%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$74.64
(-7%)
Market implied -6.6%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case
$54.37
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$84.58
(+7.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BAH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Horacio Rozanski
BUY
23800 shares
2025-10-30
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