BALL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BALL - Ball Corporation
$58.78
0.75 (1.29%)
▲
5d:
-0.58%
30d:
-11.5%
90d:
+10.57%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BALL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BALL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.07
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.41
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BALL is currently trading at $58.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.51 to $65.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.9) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 81.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $56.63, while resistance sits at $61.43.
Market Sentiment: BALL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.25 (+21.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $56.63, while resistance sits at $61.43.
Market Sentiment: BALL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.25 (+21.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$59.51 -
$65.69
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.1% below Wall St target ($70.25)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$59.51 -
$65.69
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.63
Resistance Level
$61.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.89
Wall Street Target
$70.25
(+21.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
81.1%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.75
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$55.50
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$54.28
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$58.12
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.4%)
$146.73
(+153%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 13.4%)
$84.62
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 13.4%)
$71.92
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.30
Bull Case
$85.69
(+47%)
Analyst growth 36.5%, PE expands to 19.0
Base Case
$77.90
(+34%)
Market implied 36.5%, PE stable at 17.3
Bear Case
$38.80
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.9 to 13.8
Stabilization Target:
$62.13
(+7.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 2:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BALL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Fauze Villatoro
BUY
1551 shares
2026-03-04
Kathleen Pitre
SELL
10660 shares
2026-03-02
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