BALL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BALL - Ball Corporation
$56.87
0.30 (0.53%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BALL is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BALL is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.46
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.48
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BALL is currently trading at $56.87, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.26 to $56.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.2) is in line with its historical norms (13.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.69 (+10.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.69 (+10.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$53.26 -
$56.54
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BALL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($62.69)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$53.26 -
$56.54
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.94
Resistance Level
$57.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.24
Wall Street Target
$62.69
(+10.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
81.1%
Profit Margin
5.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 13.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.81
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$59.09
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$60.39
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$56.41
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.4%)
$122.49
(+117%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 11.4%)
$78.21
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 11.4%)
$66.48
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.57
Bull Case
$96.95
(+71%)
Analyst growth 54.6%, PE expands to 24.4
Base Case
$88.14
(+56%)
Market implied 54.6%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case
$38.77
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BALL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Daniel William Fisher
SELL
3400 shares
2025-08-28
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