AVY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVY - Avery Dennison Corp.
$156.21
-2.90 (-1.82%)
▼
5d:
-4.46%
30d:
-6.05%
90d:
-20.22%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
AVY is down 4.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $185 2026-07-17 with 6 OI. Call ratio: 67% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.7/10
Get Alerted When AVY Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AVY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AVY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$261.73
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$162.51
3.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVY is currently trading at $156.21, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $161.41 to $170.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (16.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $156.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AVY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $200.30 (+28.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $156.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AVY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $200.30 (+28.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$161.41 -
$170.88
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
13th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 13th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.2% below Wall St target ($200.30)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$161.41 -
$170.88
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.53
(3.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$156.02
Resistance Level
$169.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.99
Wall Street Target
$200.30
(+28.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Profit Margin
7.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 16.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$148.71
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$141.57
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$134.78
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$156.07
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 11.4%)
$341.07
(+118%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 11.4%)
$216.20
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 11.4%)
$183.77
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.89
Bull Case
$219.32
(+38%)
Analyst growth 25.6%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$199.38
(+25%)
Market implied 25.6%, PE stable at 17.9
Bear Case
$107.94
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 16.2
Stabilization Target:
$180.89
(+15.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 5:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AVY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mitchell R Butier
SELL
13000 shares
2026-03-12
Mitchell R Butier
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-11
Ignacio J Walker
SELL
1156 shares
2026-02-06
Top Rated Packaging & Containers Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Packaging & Containers by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SW
Smurfit WestRock plc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$54 | 55 HOLD |
|
SEE
Sealed Air Corporation |
BUY
17 analysts |
$45 | 64 BUY |
|
CCK
Crown Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$125 | 51 HOLD |
|
SLGN
Silgan Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$53 | 49 HOLD |
|
BALL
Ball Corporation |
BUY
17 analysts |
$71 | 51 HOLD |
Advanced AVY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AVY price and gamma walls.
