BAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BAM - Brookfield Asset Management Ltd.
$49.71
-0.98 (-1.93%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BAM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BAM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.37
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.70
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BAM is currently trading at $49.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.20 to $53.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.6) is in line with its historical norms (28.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BAM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $49.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BAM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.67 (+21.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BAM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $49.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BAM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.67 (+21.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$51.20 -
$53.86
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.7% below Wall St target ($61.67)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$51.20 -
$53.86
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.42
Resistance Level
$53.25
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.57
Wall Street Target
$61.67
(+21.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.3%
Profit Margin
58.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.6 vs 28.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.08
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$49.48
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$48.89
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→29)
$50.71
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.6, Growth: 13.9%)
$74.84
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.9%)
$60.53
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 13.9%)
$51.45
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.55
Bull Case
$67.04
(+35%)
Analyst growth 18.6%, PE expands to 36.5
Base Case
$60.94
(+23%)
Market implied 18.6%, PE stable at 33.2
Bear Case
$34.94
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.6 to 28.6
Stabilization Target:
$52.58
(+3.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.7%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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