BAX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BAX - Baxter International Inc.

SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS
$17.78
0.47 (2.72%) ▲
5d: +1.66%
30d: +1.02%
90d: -4.97%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

None View Scanner →

Strength: 7.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BAX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.00
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.66
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BAX is currently trading at $17.78, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.00 to $18.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (8.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BAX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: BAX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.12 (+24.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $17.00 - $18.26
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 84.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 24.4% below Wall St target ($22.12)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $17.00 - $18.26
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $16.48
Resistance Level $18.09
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.84
Wall Street Target $22.12 (+24.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 237.9%
Profit Margin -9.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.3% premium
PE vs Historical 8.8 vs 8.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $17.83 (+0%)
2-Year Target $17.89 (+1%)
3-Year Target $17.94 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) PE COMPRESSION $17.86 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 4.9%) $51.21 (+188%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 4.9%) $20.54 (+16%)
Bear: (PE: 7.5, Growth: 4.9%) $17.46 (-2%)
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 7:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:19 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Michael T. McCaul BUY 2026-02-17
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-02-17
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-01-29

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