BBSI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBSI - Barrett Business Services
$31.36
1.32 (4.39%)
▲
5d:
+6.59%
30d:
+5.02%
90d:
-0.92%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BBSI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BBSI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.48
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBSI is currently trading at $31.36, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.10 to $30.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.0) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 0.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBSI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.25 (+40.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBSI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.25 (+40.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$29.10 -
$30.88
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 40.6% below Wall St target ($42.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.10 -
$30.88
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.50
Resistance Level
$31.77
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.97
Wall Street Target
$42.25
(+40.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 14.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.89
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$29.74
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$29.59
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
$30.07
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 14.6%)
$71.35
(+138%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 14.6%)
$45.17
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 14.6%)
$38.39
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.53
Bull Case
$45.15
(+50%)
Analyst growth 40.5%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$41.05
(+37%)
Market implied 40.5%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case
$19.86
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$30.53
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBSI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
James R Potts
SELL
1803 shares
2026-03-17
Gary Kramer
BUY
8370 shares
2026-03-13
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