BCML Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BCML - BayCom Corp Common Stock
$30.42
0.06 (0.20%)
▲
5d:
-0.2%
30d:
+7.76%
90d:
-0.46%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 16, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BCML shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BCML shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.80
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BCML is currently trading at $30.42, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.75 to $30.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BCML is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $31.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BCML has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BCML is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $31.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BCML has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$28.75 -
$30.68
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($32.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.75 -
$30.68
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.37
Resistance Level
$31.22
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.83
Wall Street Target
$32.67
(+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.0%
Profit Margin
26.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.57
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$30.72
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$30.88
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.52
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 3.1%)
$67.78
(+123%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 3.1%)
$33.29
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 3.1%)
$28.30
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.42
Bull Case
$38.78
(+28%)
Analyst growth 16.1%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$35.25
(+16%)
Market implied 16.1%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$20.64
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 7:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BCML showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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