BFC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BFC - Bank First Corporation Common Stock
$141.87
-0.50 (-0.35%)
▼
5d:
+0.52%
30d:
+0.03%
90d:
+1.25%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BFC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BFC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$182.68
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$113.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BFC is currently trading at $141.87, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $141.18 to $145.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BFC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $139.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $158.50 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BFC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $139.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $158.50 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$141.18 -
$145.48
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($158.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.3% growth with 49.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$141.18 -
$145.48
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$139.04
Resistance Level
$146.79
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.61
Wall Street Target
$158.50
(+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
49.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Profit Margin
37.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 13.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$143.71
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$145.58
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$147.48
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$141.96
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 8.0%)
$288.58
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 8.0%)
$178.59
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 8.0%)
$151.80
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.18
Bull Case
$228.47
(+61%)
Analyst growth 45.2%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$207.70
(+46%)
Market implied 45.2%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$97.27
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 22, 2026 9:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is BFC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Todd A Sprang
BUY
450 shares
2026-04-22
Michael S Stayer-Suprick
BUY
225 shares
2026-04-21
Steven M Eldred
SELL
8000 shares
2026-02-11
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