BHB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BHB - Bar Harbor Bankshares
$33.54
-0.49 (-1.44%)
▼
5d:
-4.12%
30d:
-2.24%
90d:
-4.34%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BHB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BHB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.87
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BHB is currently trading at $33.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.98 to $34.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 22.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$33.98 -
$34.97
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($37.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.98 -
$34.97
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.40
Resistance Level
$35.58
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.91
Wall Street Target
$37.00
(+8.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.6%
Profit Margin
23.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.00
(0%)
2-Year Target
$33.96
(0%)
3-Year Target
$33.93
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.90
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 5.5%)
$98.93
(+191%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 5.5%)
$39.99
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 5.5%)
$33.99
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.46
Bull Case
$57.77
(+70%)
Analyst growth 55.3%, PE expands to 15.1
Base Case
$52.52
(+54%)
Market implied 55.3%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$23.00
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BHB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
David M Colter
BUY
500 shares
2026-03-02
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