BL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BL - BlackLine, Inc. Common Stock
$46.47
-0.44 (-0.94%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BL is down 12.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BL is down 12.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$83.74
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.00
10.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BL is currently trading at $46.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.31 to $57.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.9) compared to its historical average (23.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $45.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.54 (+31.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $45.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.54 (+31.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$51.31 -
$57.31
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.2% below Wall St target ($61.54)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$51.31 -
$57.31
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.62
Resistance Level
$54.81
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.93
Wall Street Target
$61.54
(+31.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-67.9%
Profit Margin
11.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 23.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.33
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$41.89
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$39.59
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→24)
$46.89
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.2%)
$76.09
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.2%)
$67.99
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 13.2%)
$57.79
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 47.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.10
Bull Case
$114.00
(+145%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 51.8
Base Case
$103.64
(+123%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 47.1
Bear Case
$35.24
(-24%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.9 to 23.6
Stabilization Target:
$55.56
(+18.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.4%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas Unterman
SELL
910 shares
2025-09-22
Thomas Unterman
SELL
910 shares
2025-08-28
Michelle D Stalick
SELL
664 shares
2025-08-22
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Advanced BL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BL price and gamma walls.
