BLK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BLK - Blackrock, Inc.
$1118.94
-8.84 (-0.78%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 10, 2026
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3 traders called BLK this week
80% bullish • 1 bearish
80% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BLK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BLK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1850.68
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1149.12
2.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BLK is currently trading at $1118.94, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1081.81 to $1129.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.2) is in line with its historical norms (19.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLK is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1098.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1333.67 (+18.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLK is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1098.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1333.67 (+18.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$1081.81 -
$1129.86
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($1333.67)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$1081.81 -
$1129.86
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$32.94
(2.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1098.00
Resistance Level
$1181.36
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.19
Wall Street Target
$1333.67
(+18.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.7%
Profit Margin
22.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.2 vs 19.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1100.71
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$1074.30
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$1048.51
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→20)
$1123.74
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.9%)
$2040.61
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 13.9%)
$1664.94
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 13.9%)
$1415.20
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $35.33
Bull Case
$2164.69
(+94%)
Analyst growth 75.4%, PE expands to 34.9
Base Case
$1967.90
(+76%)
Market implied 75.4%, PE stable at 31.8
Bear Case
$762.74
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.2 to 19.5
Stabilization Target:
$1208.69
(+7.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.2%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 6:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BLK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rachel Lord
SELL
12000 shares
2025-10-20
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Richard McCormick
SELL
2025-09-18
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Advanced BLK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BLK price and gamma walls.
