BLMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BLMN - Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Common Stock
$5.33
0.07 (1.24%)
▲
5d:
-4.74%
30d:
-12.99%
90d:
-21.58%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
BLMN is down 3.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $7.5 2026-05-15 with 955 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BLMN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BLMN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.48
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.51
18.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BLMN is currently trading at $5.33, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.57 to $6.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.4) compared to its historical average (7.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BLMN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.35 (+39.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BLMN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.35 (+39.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$5.57 -
$6.36
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BLMN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.7% below Wall St target ($7.35)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.57 -
$6.36
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.19
Resistance Level
$6.12
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.39
Wall Street Target
$7.35
(+39.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.0%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.4 vs 7.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.79
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$4.36
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$3.96
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→7)
$5.22
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.4%)
$31.82
(+505%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.4, Growth: 13.4%)
$7.66
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.6, Growth: 13.4%)
$6.51
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 6.25 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.89
Bull Case
$6.75
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 6.6
Base Case
$5.59
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 6.3
Bear Case
$4.28
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 5.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.4 to 7.1
Stabilization Target:
$6.92
(+31.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BLMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Rohit Lal
BUY
10000 shares
2026-03-11
Julie T Kunkel
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-05
Julie T Kunkel
BUY
1500 shares
2025-11-11
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Advanced BLMN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BLMN price and gamma walls.