BMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMI - Badger Meter, Inc.
$146.58
2.16 (1.50%)
▲
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BMI is down 13.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BMI is down 13.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$191.48
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$118.89
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMI is currently trading at $146.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $165.64 to $180.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.1) compared to its historical average (32.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $139.14, while resistance sits at $174.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $185.00 (+26.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $139.14, while resistance sits at $174.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $185.00 (+26.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$165.64 -
$180.63
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BMI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.2% below Wall St target ($185.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$165.64 -
$180.63
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$139.14
Resistance Level
$174.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.08
Wall Street Target
$185.00
(+26.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Profit Margin
15.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.1 vs 32.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$136.32
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$126.78
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$117.90
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→32)
$146.47
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.1, Growth: 8.8%)
$188.90
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.8%)
$161.51
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 8.8%)
$137.28
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.78
Bull Case
$193.40
(+32%)
Analyst growth 20.2%, PE expands to 33.7
Base Case
$175.81
(+20%)
Market implied 20.2%, PE stable at 30.6
Bear Case
$99.50
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.1 to 32.4
Stabilization Target:
$182.09
(+24.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.2%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 3:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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