BMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMI - Badger Meter, Inc.
$152.35
4.25 (2.87%)
▲
5d:
+1.14%
30d:
+0.1%
90d:
-15.24%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 16, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BMI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BMI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$189.56
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$117.70
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMI is currently trading at $152.35, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $146.83 to $154.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.6) compared to its historical average (29.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $155.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BMI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $178.00 (+20.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $155.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BMI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $178.00 (+20.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$146.83 -
$154.54
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.2% below Wall St target ($178.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$146.83 -
$154.54
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.48
(4.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$145.70
Resistance Level
$155.74
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.62
Wall Street Target
$178.00
(+20.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Profit Margin
15.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.6 vs 29.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$142.47
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$137.06
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$131.85
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→30)
$148.11
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.6, Growth: 8.8%)
$190.54
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.8%)
$159.99
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 8.8%)
$135.99
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.79
Bull Case
$189.03
(+23%)
Analyst growth 16.2%, PE expands to 34.0
Base Case
$171.84
(+12%)
Market implied 16.2%, PE stable at 30.9
Bear Case
$100.60
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.6 to 29.9
Stabilization Target:
$166.36
(+12.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kimberly K Stoll
SELL
143 shares
2026-03-06
Fred J Begale
SELL
2064 shares
2026-03-04
Kimberly K Stoll
SELL
1634 shares
2026-03-03
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