BROS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BROS - Dutch Bros Inc.
$50.35
-0.21 (-0.42%)
▼
5d:
+4.85%
30d:
-4.46%
90d:
-17.76%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
29d
Smart Money Accumulation
BROS is down 6.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $62.5 2026-06-18 with 3,286 OI. Call ratio: 62% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BROS appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.8% annual earnings decline despite 433% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BROS appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.8% annual earnings decline despite 433% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.43
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.28
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BROS is currently trading at $50.35, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.80 to $52.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 42.0) compared to its historical average (57.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 432.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BROS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $44.58, while resistance sits at $53.80.
Market Sentiment: BROS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.48 (+51.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BROS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $44.58, while resistance sits at $53.80.
Market Sentiment: BROS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.48 (+51.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$48.80 -
$52.97
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.9% below Wall St target ($76.48)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$48.80 -
$52.97
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.58
Resistance Level
$53.80
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
41.95
Wall Street Target
$76.48
(+51.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
432.8%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
42.0 vs 57.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.42
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$40.96
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$36.95
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 42→57)
$50.29
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 42.0, Growth: 33.0%)
$118.51
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 33.0%)
$58.10
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 33.0%)
$49.39
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (78x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (42x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 78.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case
$103.00
(+96%)
Analyst growth 87.3%, PE expands to 85.9
Base Case
$93.63
(+79%)
Market implied 87.3%, PE stable at 78.1
Bear Case
$34.00
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 66.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 42.0 to 57.1
Stabilization Target:
$68.53
(+36.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 05, 2026 7:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BROS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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Advanced BROS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BROS price and gamma walls.
