BRSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRSP - BrightSpire Capital, Inc.
$5.98
-0.16 (-2.61%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BRSP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BRSP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.02
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.98
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRSP is currently trading at $5.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.76 to $5.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.5) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSP is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BRSP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSP is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BRSP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$5.76 -
$5.96
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.36)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with -4.8% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.76 -
$5.96
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.82
Resistance Level
$6.17
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.53
Wall Street Target
$6.36
(+6.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-95.5%
Profit Margin
-11.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.05
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$6.11
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$6.18
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.94
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.8%)
$20.70
(+246%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 9.8%)
$7.92
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 9.8%)
$6.73
(+13%)
Last updated: February 01, 2026 8:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BRSP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BRSP price and gamma walls.
