BRZE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BRZE - Braze, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$20.74
-0.08 (-0.38%) β–Ό
5d: -17.44%
30d: -39.52%
90d: -24.66%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Mar 26, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BRZE is down 17.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.26
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BRZE is currently trading at $20.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.36 to $32.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 32.5) compared to its historical average (78.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 25.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BRZE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.20 (+122.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $23.36 - $32.54
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 122.8% below Wall St target ($46.20)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -17.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $23.36 - $32.54
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $20.43
Resistance Level $26.17
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 32.55
Wall Street Target $46.20 (+122.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 25.5%
Profit Margin -16.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -25.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 32.6 vs 78.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -25.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $18.67 (-10%)
2-Year Target $16.80 (-19%)
3-Year Target $15.12 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 33β†’78) $36.23 (+75%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 32.6, Growth: 51.4%) $70.00 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 51.4%) $47.95 (+131%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 51.4%) $40.76 (+97%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.6 to 78.0
Stabilization Target: $49.69 (+139.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +139.6%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 8:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:24 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Pankaj Malik SELL 4174 shares 2025-09-18
Astha Malik SELL 3270 shares 2025-09-05
Susan Wiseman SELL 4943 shares 2025-08-20

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