BSBR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BSBR - BANCO SANTANDER (BRASIL) SA
$5.33
-0.12 (-2.20%)
▼
5d:
-8.58%
30d:
-15.93%
90d:
-19.12%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BSBR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BSBR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.06
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.25
14.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BSBR is currently trading at $5.33, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.65 to $6.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.5) compared to its historical average (7.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSBR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.06 (+32.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSBR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.06 (+32.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.65 -
$6.30
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.5% below Wall St target ($7.06)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.65 -
$6.30
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.29
Resistance Level
$6.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.52
Wall Street Target
$7.06
(+32.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.8%
Profit Margin
27.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.5 vs 7.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.89
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$4.48
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$4.11
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$5.36
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 11.4%)
$29.50
(+454%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.5, Growth: 11.4%)
$7.37
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.7, Growth: 11.4%)
$6.27
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.33
Bull Case
$11.68
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.7
Base Case
$10.62
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case
$3.61
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.5 to 7.2
Stabilization Target:
$6.96
(+30.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 6:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BSBR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
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2026-03-26
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20156 shares
2026-03-24
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SELL
12000 shares
2026-03-24
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