BSRR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BSRR - Sierra Bancorp
$41.09
-0.59 (-1.42%)
▼
5d:
+1.66%
30d:
+7.23%
90d:
+20.53%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
23d
Get Alerted When BSRR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BSRR is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BSRR is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.88
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BSRR is currently trading at $41.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.49 to $40.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSRR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $42.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BSRR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSRR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $42.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BSRR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$38.49 -
$40.72
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($41.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.49 -
$40.72
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.26
Resistance Level
$42.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.60
Wall Street Target
$41.50
(+1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.7%
Profit Margin
29.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.36
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$43.68
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$45.03
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.22
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.1%)
$95.38
(+132%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 4.1%)
$46.40
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 4.1%)
$39.44
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.42
Bull Case
$51.99
(+27%)
Analyst growth 13.4%, PE expands to 13.4
Base Case
$47.26
(+15%)
Market implied 13.4%, PE stable at 12.2
Bear Case
$28.34
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BSRR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie G Castle
SELL
250 shares
2026-02-13
James C Holly
SELL
5000 shares
2026-02-05
Julie G Castle
SELL
750 shares
2026-02-05
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares In… |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$20 | 69 BUY |
|
CFG
Citizens Financial Group… |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$74 | 65 BUY |
|
NU
Nu Holdings Ltd |
BUY
20 analysts |
$18 | 66 BUY |
|
WAL
Western Alliance Bancorp… |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$89 | 67 BUY |
|
FNB
F.N.B. Corp |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$21 | 66 BUY |
