BTG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BTG - B2Gold Corp.
$4.90
-0.65 (-11.71%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
16d
Smart Money Accumulation
BTG is down 7.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $5 2026-04-17 with 53,590 OI. Call ratio: 90% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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2 traders called BTG this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BTG is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BTG is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.60
12.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BTG is currently trading at $4.90, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.46 to $5.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.7) is in line with its historical norms (6.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.48, while resistance sits at $5.91. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: BTG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.76 (+17.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.48, while resistance sits at $5.91. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: BTG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.76 (+17.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$4.46 -
$5.19
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BTG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-11.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($5.76)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.4% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.46 -
$5.19
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.48
Resistance Level
$5.91
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.67
Wall Street Target
$5.76
(+17.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
74.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.3%
Profit Margin
8.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 6.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.01
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$5.12
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$5.23
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.94
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 39.7%)
$44.67
(+812%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 39.7%)
$13.35
(+173%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: 39.7%)
$11.35
(+132%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.15
Bull Case
$12.69
(+159%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 42.3
Base Case
$11.54
(+136%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 38.5
Bear Case
$3.92
(-20%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 1:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:22 AM
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BTG price and gamma walls.
