BUSE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUSE - First Busey Corporation Class A Common Stock
$25.81
-0.34 (-1.30%)
▼
5d:
-3.01%
30d:
-1.49%
90d:
-2.79%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BUSE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BUSE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.72
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUSE is currently trading at $25.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.07 to $26.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.5) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUSE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.57 (+10.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUSE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.57 (+10.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$26.07 -
$26.74
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($28.57)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.07 -
$26.74
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.58
Resistance Level
$27.03
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.52
Wall Street Target
$28.57
(+10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
143.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.9%
Profit Margin
27.6%
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.81
(0%)
2-Year Target
$25.81
(0%)
3-Year Target
$25.81
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.74
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 3.2%)
$65.65
(+154%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 3.2%)
$28.33
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 3.2%)
$24.08
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.43
Bull Case
$32.08
(+24%)
Analyst growth 11.5%, PE expands to 11.8
Base Case
$29.16
(+13%)
Market implied 11.5%, PE stable at 10.8
Bear Case
$17.78
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUSE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael David Cassens
SELL
750 shares
2026-04-15
Michael David Cassens
SELL
750 shares
2026-02-17
Michael David Cassens
SELL
750 shares
2026-01-15
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