BUSE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUSE - First Busey Corporation Class A Common Stock
$29.65
-0.52 (-1.72%)
▼
5d:
+0.82%
30d:
+8.09%
90d:
+16.37%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BUSE is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BUSE is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.53
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUSE is currently trading at $29.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.41 to $29.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUSE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BUSE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUSE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BUSE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$27.41 -
$29.25
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.14)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.41 -
$29.25
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.04
Resistance Level
$30.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.91
Wall Street Target
$30.14
(+1.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
143.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.9%
Profit Margin
27.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.84
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$32.07
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$33.35
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 3.3%)
$65.15
(+120%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 3.3%)
$32.64
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 3.3%)
$27.75
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.43
Bull Case
$37.11
(+25%)
Analyst growth 11.8%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$33.73
(+14%)
Market implied 11.8%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$20.52
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUSE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael David Cassens
SELL
750 shares
2026-04-15
Michael David Cassens
SELL
750 shares
2026-02-17
Michael David Cassens
SELL
750 shares
2026-01-15
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