BVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BVN - Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A.
$34.29
-2.86 (-7.70%)
▼
5d:
-3.03%
30d:
-5.22%
90d:
-9.67%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BVN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BVN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.48
Based on -10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BVN is currently trading at $34.29, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.21 to $37.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 139.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $31.29, while resistance sits at $38.65. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: BVN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $31.29, while resistance sits at $38.65. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: BVN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$32.21 -
$37.43
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($39.58)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.21 -
$37.43
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.29
Resistance Level
$38.65
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.03
Wall Street Target
$39.58
(+6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
103.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
139.4%
Profit Margin
47.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.96
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$36.78
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$36.60
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$37.17
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -24.2%)
$54.14
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: -24.2%)
$27.08
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: -24.2%)
$23.02
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.30
Bull Case
$41.77
(+12%)
Analyst growth 2.1%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$37.98
(+2%)
Market implied 2.1%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$25.29
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$37.74
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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