BVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BVN - Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A.
$29.72
0.52 (1.78%)
▲
5d:
-3.13%
30d:
-14.57%
90d:
-20.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.75
Based on -10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BVN is currently trading at $29.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.08 to $34.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.9) compared to its historical average (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 139.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $28.45, while resistance sits at $35.05.
Market Sentiment: BVN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.12 (+35.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $28.45, while resistance sits at $35.05.
Market Sentiment: BVN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.12 (+35.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$30.08 -
$34.85
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.0% below Wall St target ($40.12)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.08 -
$34.85
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.45
Resistance Level
$35.05
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.86
Wall Street Target
$40.12
(+35.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
103.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
139.4%
Profit Margin
47.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 10.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.82
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$26.04
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$24.37
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$29.72
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -24.0%)
$53.27
(+79%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: -24.0%)
$21.67
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: -24.0%)
$18.42
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.12
Bull Case
$26.16
(-12%)
Analyst growth -18.6%, PE expands to 7.8
Base Case
$23.78
(-20%)
Market implied -18.6%, PE stable at 7.1
Bear Case
$19.86
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$36.24
(+21.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 7:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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