BWMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BWMX - Betterware de Mexico, S.A.P.I. de C.V.
$17.96
-0.13 (-0.72%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BWMX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BWMX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.86
17.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 0.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BWMX is currently trading at $17.96, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.85 to $18.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 0.4) is in line with its historical norms (0.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWMX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.33, while resistance sits at $19.79.
Market Sentiment: BWMX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.67 (+31.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWMX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.33, while resistance sits at $19.79.
Market Sentiment: BWMX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.67 (+31.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$14.85 -
$18.31
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BWMX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.8% below Wall St target ($23.67)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.6% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.85 -
$18.31
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.74
(15.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.33
Resistance Level
$19.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.40
Wall Street Target
$23.67
(+31.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.4 vs 0.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.87
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$17.78
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$17.69
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 0→0)
$17.81
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 43.9%)
$3006.56
(+16640%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.4, Growth: 43.9%)
$53.57
(+198%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.3, Growth: 43.9%)
$45.54
(+154%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (0x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.48
Bull Case
$40.68
(+127%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 42.4
Base Case
$36.98
(+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 38.5
Bear Case
$12.57
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 0.4 to 0.4
Stabilization Target:
$18.08
(+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.7%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 4:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BWMX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BWMX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BWMX price and gamma walls.
