BWMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BWMX - Betterware de Mexico, S.A.P.I. de C.V.
$16.92
-0.17 (-0.99%)
▼
5d:
-0.76%
30d:
-3.64%
90d:
+19.07%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BWMX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BWMX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.93
34.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 0.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BWMX is currently trading at $16.92, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.71 to $17.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 0.3) compared to its historical average (0.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWMX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.25, while resistance sits at $17.45.
Market Sentiment: BWMX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.51 (+56.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWMX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.25, while resistance sits at $17.45.
Market Sentiment: BWMX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.51 (+56.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$16.71 -
$17.87
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 56.7% below Wall St target ($26.51)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$16.71 -
$17.87
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.45
(8.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.25
Resistance Level
$17.45
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.32
Wall Street Target
$26.51
(+56.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Profit Margin
7.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.3 vs 0.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.97
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$15.08
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$14.23
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 0→0)
$18.04
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 26.8%)
$2249.68
(+13196%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.3, Growth: 26.8%)
$34.52
(+104%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.3, Growth: 26.8%)
$29.34
(+73%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (0x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.56
Bull Case
$36.67
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 11.8
Base Case
$33.34
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 10.7
Bear Case
$11.34
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 0.3 to 0.4
Stabilization Target:
$21.44
(+26.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 03, 2026 1:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BWMX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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