BYRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BYRN - Byrna Technologies, Inc. Common Stock

MISCELLANEOUS ELECTRICAL MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
$13.71
-0.51 (-3.59%) ▼
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LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 06, 2026 5d
Smart Money Accumulation

BYRN is down 13.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $20 2026-03-20 with 1,073 OI. Call ratio: 95% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BYRN is down 13.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.86
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.81
7.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BYRN is currently trading at $13.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.34 to $17.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 29.0) compared to its historical average (35.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 125.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BYRN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.70 (+179.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $15.34 - $17.51
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 55th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 55th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 179.2% below Wall St target ($39.70)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.8% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $15.34 - $17.51
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.48 (10.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $13.63
Resistance Level $17.56
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 29.02
Wall Street Target $39.70 (+179.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 35.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 125.0%
Profit Margin 14.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 29.0 vs 35.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.35 (-6%)
2-Year Target $12.54 (-12%)
3-Year Target $11.77 (-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→35) $14.24 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 29.0, Growth: 32.4%) $33.03 (+132%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 32.4%) $25.38 (+79%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 32.4%) $21.57 (+52%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 21.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.67
Bull Case $11.75 (-14%)
Analyst growth -26.9%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case $10.68 (-22%)
Market implied -26.9%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case $9.93 (-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.0 to 35.1
Stabilization Target: $17.20 (+20.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +20.9%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced BYRN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BYRN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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