CABO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CABO - Cable One, Inc.

CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES
$93.65
-1.56 (-1.64%) β–Ό
5d: -0.09%
30d: -2.4%
90d: -19.91%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
βœ… BUY SIGNAL: CABO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.0% annual earnings decline despite 92% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$89.87
Based on -3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.80
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CABO is currently trading at $93.65, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $93.82 to $109.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.6) compared to its historical average (2.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 91.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CABO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $89.99, while resistance sits at $115.75.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $111.75 (+17.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $93.82 - $109.57
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($111.75)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $93.82 - $109.57
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $89.99
Resistance Level $115.75
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 2.57
Wall Street Target $111.75 (+17.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 91.5%
Profit Margin -23.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 2.6 vs 2.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $91.40 (-4%)
2-Year Target $87.75 (-8%)
3-Year Target $84.24 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 3β†’3) $94.97 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: -10.7%) $604.41 (+535%)
Base: (SPY PE: 2.6, Growth: -10.7%) $69.41 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 2.2, Growth: -10.7%) $59.00 (-38%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.6 to 2.9
Stabilization Target: $107.34 (+12.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +12.7%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:25 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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