CASS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CASS - Cass Information Systems Inc

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$44.96
0.91 (2.07%) β–²
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 16, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: CASS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.65
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.01
25.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CASS is currently trading at $44.96, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.17 to $43.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 88.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CASS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CASS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.00 (+13.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $41.17 - $43.59
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.5%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($50.00)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $41.17 - $43.59
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $41.34
Resistance Level $45.60
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.59
Wall Street Target $50.00 (+13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 88.0%
Profit Margin 16.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.6 vs 14.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $42.16 (-4%)
2-Year Target $40.34 (-8%)
3-Year Target $38.61 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13β†’14) $43.87 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 24.6%) $150.82 (+242%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 24.6%) $85.12 (+93%)
Bear: (PE: 10.7, Growth: 24.6%) $72.35 (+64%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.31
Bull Case $74.13 (+68%)
Analyst growth 51.5%, PE expands to 21.2
Base Case $67.39 (+53%)
Market implied 51.5%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case $30.25 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 14.3
Stabilization Target: $50.05 (+13.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +13.6%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CASS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CASS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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