CAVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAVA - CAVA Group, Inc.
$76.94
1.52 (2.02%)
▲
5d:
-11.63%
30d:
-6.71%
90d:
+27.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
CAVA is up 4.1% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $65 2026-06-18 with 6,431 OI. Put ratio: 61% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CAVA is down 11.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CAVA is down 11.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.34
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAVA is currently trading at $76.94, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.22 to $86.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 109.0) is in line with its historical norms (110.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAVA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.63, while resistance sits at $91.83.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.70 (+10.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAVA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.63, while resistance sits at $91.83.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.70 (+10.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$74.22 -
$86.28
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CAVA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($84.70)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$74.22 -
$86.28
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.63
Resistance Level
$91.83
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
108.96
Wall Street Target
$84.70
(+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.0%
Profit Margin
5.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
109.0 vs 110.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.63
(0%)
2-Year Target
$76.33
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$76.02
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 109→110)
$77.02
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 109.0, Growth: 35.8%)
$192.64
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 35.8%)
$39.51
(-49%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 35.8%)
$33.59
(-56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (169x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (109x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 169.49 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.51
Bull Case
$105.14
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 178.0
Base Case
$87.07
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 169.5
Bear Case
$66.61
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 152.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 109.0 to 110.4
Stabilization Target:
$77.95
(+1.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brett Schulman
SELL
4542 shares
2026-01-27
Kelly Costanza
SELL
1707 shares
2026-01-27
Kenneth Robert Bertram
SELL
994 shares
2026-01-27
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Advanced CAVA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CAVA price and gamma walls.
