CAVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAVA - CAVA Group, Inc.
$60.62
-2.41 (-3.82%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
24d
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4 traders called CAVA this week
80% bullish • 1 bearish
80% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CAVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CAVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.20
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.92
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAVA is currently trading at $60.62, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.22 to $69.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 110.6) is in line with its historical norms (104.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAVA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.10 (+14.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAVA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.10 (+14.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$60.22 -
$69.31
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CAVA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($72.10)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.0% growth with 19.9% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.6% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$60.22 -
$69.31
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.53
Resistance Level
$72.60
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
110.58
Wall Street Target
$72.10
(+14.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-20.0%
Profit Margin
12.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
110.6 vs 104.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.29
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$65.58
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$66.89
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 111→104)
PE COMPRESSION
$63.15
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 110.6, Growth: 8.3%)
$79.98
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.3%)
$16.13
(-74%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 8.3%)
$13.71
(-78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 53.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.16
Bull Case
$34.28
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 59.1
Base Case
$31.17
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 53.7
Bear Case
$42.38
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 45.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CAVA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CAVA price and gamma walls.
