CAVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAVA - CAVA Group, Inc.
$80.14
-0.76 (-0.94%)
▼
5d:
-0.19%
30d:
+3.98%
90d:
+37.37%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
CAVA is up 4.1% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $65 2026-06-18 with 6,431 OI. Put ratio: 61% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.2/10
Get Alerted When CAVA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CAVA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CAVA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.43
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAVA is currently trading at $80.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.85 to $86.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 113.1) is in line with its historical norms (110.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAVA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.63, while resistance sits at $90.68.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAVA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.63, while resistance sits at $90.68.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$75.85 -
$86.25
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($84.96)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.8% growth with 20.9% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$75.85 -
$86.25
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.63
Resistance Level
$90.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
113.06
Wall Street Target
$84.96
(+6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.0%
Profit Margin
5.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
113.1 vs 110.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.78
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$81.43
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$82.08
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 113→110)
PE COMPRESSION
$80.14
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 113.1, Growth: 36.3%)
$202.96
(+153%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 36.3%)
$40.12
(-50%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 36.3%)
$34.10
(-57%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (169x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (113x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 169.49 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.51
Bull Case
$105.14
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 178.0
Base Case
$87.07
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 169.5
Bear Case
$66.61
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 152.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CAVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brett Schulman
SELL
4542 shares
2026-01-27
Kelly Costanza
SELL
1707 shares
2026-01-27
Kenneth Robert Bertram
SELL
994 shares
2026-01-27
Top Rated Restaurants Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Restaurants by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill I… |
STRONG BUY
34 analysts |
$45 | 64 BUY |
|
QSR
Restaurant Brands Intern… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$80 | 54 HOLD |
|
DPZ
Domino's Pizza Inc Commo… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$479 | 56 HOLD |
|
MCD
McDonald’s Corporation |
BUY
36 analysts |
$343 | 58 HOLD |
|
DRI
Darden Restaurants Inc |
BUY
31 analysts |
$225 | 56 HOLD |
Advanced CAVA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CAVA price and gamma walls.
