CB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CB - Chubb Limited
$309.56
3.39 (1.11%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$425.70
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$264.33
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CB is currently trading at $309.56, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $301.74 to $312.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 22.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $309.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $309.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$301.74 -
$312.32
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($320.55)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$301.74 -
$312.32
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$296.06
Resistance Level
$309.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.58
Wall Street Target
$320.55
(+4.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.6%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 11.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$305.86
(0%)
2-Year Target
$305.56
(0%)
3-Year Target
$305.25
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$305.71
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.6%)
$776.06
(+154%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 9.6%)
$403.08
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 9.6%)
$342.62
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $23.94
Bull Case
$366.16
(+20%)
Analyst growth 10.4%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$332.87
(+9%)
Market implied 10.4%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$205.00
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 11.6
Stabilization Target:
$306.63
(+0.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.2%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-09-05
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-08-04
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