CBRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CBRL - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc,.

RETAIL-EATING PLACES
$28.54
0.43 (1.53%) ▲
5d: +2.29%
30d: -7.07%
90d: +14.07%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 09, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

CBRL is down 3.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $32.5 2026-04-17 with 104 OI. Call ratio: 74% View Scanner →

Strength: 3.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CBRL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.68
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.60
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CBRL is currently trading at $28.54, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.34 to $31.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 53.5) compared to its historical average (43.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $28.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CBRL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.57 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $27.34 - $31.57
Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 91.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.57)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.5% growth with -7.9% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $27.34 - $31.57
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $26.35
Resistance Level $28.78
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Apr 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 53.53
Wall Street Target $31.57 (+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -94.2%
Profit Margin -0.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +7.5% premium
PE vs Historical 53.5 vs 43.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +7.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $30.68 (+8%)
2-Year Target $32.98 (+16%)
3-Year Target $35.46 (+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 54→43) PE COMPRESSION $28.48 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:16 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tim Moore SELL 2026-01-05
Tim Moore BUY 2025-12-31
Gmt Capital Corp SELL 42400 shares 2025-12-29

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Advanced CBRL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CBRL price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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