CBRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CBRL - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc,.
$30.12
1.69 (5.94%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026
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1 traders called CBRL this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CBRL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CBRL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.86
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.19
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CBRL is currently trading at $30.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.33 to $32.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 43.6) compared to its historical average (26.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 18.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.95, while resistance sits at $36.16. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.95, while resistance sits at $36.16. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$26.33 -
$32.47
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.9%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($29.12)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 18.4% growth with -5.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$26.33 -
$32.47
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.95
Resistance Level
$36.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
43.57
Wall Street Target
$29.13
(+2.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.0%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+18.4% premium
PE vs Historical
43.6 vs 26.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+18.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.66
(+18%)
2-Year Target
$39.85
(+40%)
3-Year Target
$47.19
(+66%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 44→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.48
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 39.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$28.55
(-5%)
Analyst growth -11.8%, PE expands to 43.8
Base Case
$25.95
(-14%)
Market implied -11.8%, PE stable at 39.8
Bear Case
$20.01
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CBRL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CBRL price and gamma walls.